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(79 People Likes) Is the story of the Annabelle doll real? If it is, then what is the proof?

Lorraine Warren's spooky museum of trophies. Director James Wan redesigned Annabelle for the movie, giving her a much more disturbing appearance, but in real life Annabelle was just your run of the mill Raggedy Ann doll.
Donna got Annabelle from her mother in 1970; mom bought the used doll at a hobby store. Donna was a college student at the time, and living with a roommate named Angie, and at first neither thou Realistic Sex Doll ht the doll was anything special. But over time they noticed Annabelle seemed to move on her own; at first it was really subtle, just changes in position, the kinds of things that could be written off as the doll being jostled. But the movement increased, and within a few weeks it seemed to become fully mobile. The girls would leave the apartment with Annabelle on Donna's bed and return home to find it on the couch.
Their friend Lou hated the doll. He thought there was something deeply wrong with it, something evil, but the girls were modern women and didn't believe that sort of thing. There must be an explanation, they reasoned. But soon Annabelle's actions got even weirder - Donna began to find pieces of parchment paper in the house with messages written on it. "Help us," they would say, or "Help Lou." Just to make the whole thing that much creepier nobody in the house had parchment paper. Where the hell was it coming from?
The escalation continued. The blood - or some sort of red liquid - seemed to be coming from the doll itself. That was enough; Donna finally agreed to bring in a medium. The sensitive sat with the doll and told the girls that long before their apartment complex had been built there had been a field on that property. A seven year old girl named Annabelle Higgins had been found dead in that field. Her spirit remained, and when the doll came into the house the girl latched on to it. She found Donna and Angie to be trustworthy. She just wanted to stay with them. She wanted to be safe with them.
Being sweet, nurturing types - they were both nursing students - Donna and Angie agreed to let Annabelle stay with them. And that's when all hell broke loose.
Lou started having bad dreams, dreams where Annabelle was in his bed, climbing up his leg as he lay frozen, sliding up his chest to his neck and closing her stuffed hands around his throat, choking him out. He would wake up terrified, head pounding like all blood had been cut off to his brain. He was freaking out. He was worried about the girls.
A few days later he and Angie were hanging out, planning a road trip, when they heard someone moving around in Donna's room. They froze - was it a break in? Was there an intruder in the apartment? Lou crept over to the door, listening to rustling within. He threw open the door and everything was as it should be - except Annabelle was off the bed and sitting in a corner. As he approached the doll Lou was consumed with that feeling, a burning on the back of the neck that indicates someone was staring at you and he spun around. Nobody was there. The room was empty. And then sudden pain on his chest. He looked in his shirt and saw a series of raking claw marks, rough ditches in his flesh that burned. He knew Annabelle had done it.
The weird claw marks began healing almost immediately. They knew they needed more help, and they turned to an Episcopalian priest, who in turned called in Ed and Lorraine Warren.
It didn't take the Warrens long to come to their conclusion: there was no ghost in this case. There was an inhuman spirit - a demon - attached to the doll. But they warned that the doll wasn't possessed; demons don't possess things, only people. It was clinging to the doll, manipulating it, in order to give the impression of a haunting. The target was really Donna's soul.
A priest performed an exorcism on the apartment and the Warrens took possession of the doll. They put it in a bag and began the long drive home; Ed agreed to stay off the highways because there was a concern that the demon might fuck with the car, and at 65 miles an hour that would be disastrous. And sure enough, as they drove on the back roads, the engine kept cutting out, the power steering kept failing and even the brakes gave them trouble. Ed opened the bag, sprinkled the doll with holy water and the disturbances stopped... for the moment.
Ed left the doll next to his desk; it began levitating. That happened a couple of times and then it seemed to just quit, finally laying quiet. But in a couple of weeks Annabelle was back to her old tricks; she started appearing in different rooms in the Warren home. Sensing that the doll was ramping back up the Warrens called in a Catholic priest to exorcise Annabelle. The priest didn't take it seriously, telling Annabelle "You're just a doll. You can't hurt anyone!" Big mistake: on his way home the priest's brakes failed, and his car was totaled in a horrible accident. He survived.
Eventually the Warrens built a locked case for Annabelle, and she resides there to this day. The locked case seems to have kept the doll from moving around, but it seems like that whatever terrible entity is attached to it is sti

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(89 People Likes) Suppose the Fed were required to conduct monetary policy so as to hold the unemployment rate below 4%, the goal specified in the Humphrey–Hawkins Act. What implications would this have for the economy?

which means the central bank will be more inclined to allow inflation to run higher than the standard 2% target before hiking interest rates, so why not also target the unemployment rate?
Of course, this would be a very blunt instrument that would be much better being left to Congress, but with the legislative branch so split, and with conservatives vehemently opposed to government offering anything other that tax cuts, this would be highly unlikely. Just as the courts are forced to punch above their weight, so is the Fed.
Because the maximum sustainable level of employment can’t be measured, the Fed, Powell announced, will give up worrying about overshooting it and focus only on employment shortfalls. The 2% inflation target remains a constraint, but a more flexible one than before. It should be hit on average, Mr Powell explained, meaning that periods of below-target inflation can be offset by at least some time with inflation above the target as well. But the conceptual change—abandoning the notion of a minimum sustainable unemployment rate—is significant. And the practical effects could be large.
Had the Fed enjoyed more freedom in recent years, it could have raised interest rates

(27 People Likes) Will inflation of the U.S. Dollar ever stop increasing?

asking will general price inflation ever stop, then the answer is not as long as there is a US Dollar unbacked by nothing but confidence, and whose value is exploited by the FED to finance our big Government spending. Because inflation favors the holders of Dollar denominated debt. The largest debt holder is the US government. So it benefits the US government to slowly steal our money by inflation so that our grandchildren won't mind too much paying it back. Of course in the 1930’s, because of the FED we had massive deflation of everything except the price of GOLD. Of course FDR made it a crime punishable by inprisonment to own gold, so unless you renounced your citizenship you could not have benefitted. There was one exception. That exception was gold stocks. The following table shows how two gold stocks were influenced by the depression and FDR.
Company Stock Price 1929,1933, Percent gain
Homestake Mining $65, $373, 474%
Dome Mines $6, $39.50, 558%
They even did much better as the Depression continued.
(I made a Quora question in which I strongly implied Gold had started a new bull market January this year. I believe we have finished the first leg of this new gold bull market. I do not recommend betting against a major trend. I would not go short gold, even if I am right and the first leg has been completed. The reason is that Gold stocks DNA is that when they take off its like a rabbit. You can get clobbered if you are on the wrong side.)
Back to your question. First what is your question again. You could be asking will the value of the US dollar ever stop increasing? Because in relation to all other major currencies, the value of the dollar has been going up for many years. See here is where it gets interesting. Because those frisky economists believe the dollar is going up because of the higher returns foreigners can get on US debt instruments, and that these instruments are considered a very safe investment. So even though Russia has much higher interest rates, above 10%, the value of the US dollar has gone much higher in terms of the Russian currency.
But things have changed since the beginning of this year. Three separate markets that do not have an obvious connection have become highly correlated. Gold, Thirty Year Treasury Bonds, and the Japanese Yen have been going up all year until quite recently. (Oh, I admit it , I was wrong on the Japanese Yen, I forecast it would go down.) That means if you were asking will the value of the dollar ever stop increasing. is that it already has stopped increasing in terms to Gold, the Treasury Bonds, and the Japanese Yen. By the way the Japanese Yen has been going up despite the Bank of Japan going to negative interest rates. This flies against the logic of the economists who believe that just the opposite should occur. Furthermore, why are two financial instruments, the Yen, the Bond, and one commodity that has little commercial use been in a lock step higher? Is this a coincidence. I am a Jungian. Carl Jung coined the concept of synchronicity, there are no coincidences.
“Synchronicity is a concept, first explained by psychiatrist Carl Jung, which holds that events are "meaningful coincidences" if they occur with no causal relationship, yet seem to be meaningfully related.” Wikipedia
Lets go back to Gold. Survivalists love this stuff. Hell everyone loves gold. They especially love it now, considering how mush money has poured into the Gold ETF and the gold stock ETF’s. People think the price of gold reflects inflation fears. In fact this was a picture perfect relationship in the late 1970’s. Gold prices soared from $38 postwar to $850 in 1980, with inflation from the average postwar rate of 3% to 13.5% in 1980. They both peaked at about the same time.
But what about now? Why has Gold been in a bear market when uncle Ben was throwing buckets of money into the US banking system by “Quantitive easing” and the FED has kept throwing money into the banking system by its usual methods as well since the crash of 2008? Well first off, the price of gold got clobbered initially with the stock market down to the $650 level and then tripled in price by 2011 to almost $2000. It’s just been since then that gold has been in a bear market and lost almost half its value. Why the different behavior? I have said previously that prices of a freely traded entity goes up or down because of two main factors, confidence and liquidity. When the 2008 crash started, liquidity evaporated along with confidence. When that happens at the same time you get a crash. But as the crash proceeded and the Trillion in TARP funds came into the banking system and Uncle Ben went into a buying spree, buying up debt on all ends of the yield curve and even mortgage debt, liquidity returned. The overall US stock market continued to drop. Confidence had been destroyed. You can't restore confidence with just liquidity. It takes times for all those people with turtle shells over their heads to come out to play. But confidence did return to a few markets. One big beneficiary was was Gold. All those people with small minds and big opinions said inflation will soar!. That false belief raised confidence levels in Gold to new heights. But by 2011, the inflation dream had bust. The liquidity was still there, but confidence tumbled. There was inflation. The inflation had just found its way into the equity and debt markets. That is again why Bernake caused such a shift of wealth in our country to the upper classes without creating inflation of the common goods that the lower classes buy. But if I am correct and we are in a new Gold bull market, then what is driving it? There seems to be a lot of confidence. We know the FED is providing the liquidity. So where is the confidence coming from. Inflation seems to be increasing but still pretty tame.
Historically, there is one other time when Gold is in big demand. That time is when countries are preparing for WAR! Who is been buying lots of gold? China and Russia are buying lots of Gold. I already stated on Quora that by the common definition of cold war, the US is already in a cold war with China. Another interesting coincidence,(remember I don't believe in coincidence.), China is now our biggest trading partner. Before World War 2 , who was Germany’s biggest trading partner. Congratulations, you are right, it was France!
I already posted what Putin’s grand strategy would be months ago. I stated that Russia has always had designs on the Mediterranean. They will try to decoy us by two methods. The first will be they will get close to North Korea. They may even be supplying the technology so that they can threaten us with their nukes. Guess what. It was just reported in the news that Russia has recently increased their relationship with North Korea!. They will also support China in its effort to grab the South China Sea. Guess what? That has also just happened. What was my next scenario? Russia needs to invade Turkey. At least to get control of the waterways from the Black Sea to the Med. What has just happened? There has been a major upheaval in the Turkish military. It is probably profoundly weaker now then for many years. The Russians are increasing their military presence in the Crimea. That goes along with my thinking about Putin. All they need now is for pressure to be put on the USA to remove all our nukes and our base from within Turkey. Putin’s working on that right now. He is also building up forces next to the Ukraine, to make us think he is going for the Baltic option. But the Baltic is a dead end for Russia. There is no way they are going to get control of the outlet from the Baltic sea without a world war. But with the right ingredients, he could get the green light for a limited invasion of Turkey which will be step one. The final step will be occupying Israel and the Suez canal. But that will take another decade, unless something happens to speed that goal up.
So the price of Gold is going up because Russia and China have soaked up excess supply. It has been a limited move so far, because there is no inflation apparent. It is just moving now with momentum. The huge move in the Gold stocks is simply because the Gold stocks were so beaten down compared to the rest of the equity markets, there has been a reversion to their mean price. If I am right and the equity markets are going to take a dip into late October, and the first wave of this Gold bull market is complete, then Gold and the gold stocks will also take a dip down to late October. Unless war breaks out. But that can't happen until the US removes its base and nukes from Turkey.
Why has the Treasury Bond market gone up all year. It was just the opposite in the late 1970’s to 1980. Gold was making a high just as interest rates peaked which because there is an inverse relationship Treasury Bond prices were crashing. The rise in the price of Treasury Bonds now is a result of all the actions of the central banks around the world. The FED already bought a bunch of the long end of the yield curve this recovery which was Bernake’s innovation. They are keeping their level of assets in the long end stable. But because of lower interest rates and negative rates elsewhere in the world, and the search for higher returns by investors world wide it has gone in Realistic Sex Doll o the long end of the bond markets. But interestingly enough we seemed to have climaxed at least for the short term at the same time Gold has stopped its upward run. Another coincidence? The bond market if this trend continues must be forecasting a large hike in interest rates by the FED.
The Japanese Yen, I am afraid I have no explanation. I can't imagine people are investing in Japanese debt instruments. Perhaps, this shows that there is going to be a new bull move in Japanese equities or Japanese land. I know there are far better experts on Quora then myself when it comes to Japan. The only exception is that if I had been in control of Japan before the beginning of World War

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